<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>It is vital for security experts to learn from the historical records of global climate change as to how the human society has been impacted by its consequences in the “new” Anthropocene Epoch. Some of these consequences of global climate change include the perishing of several human settlements in different parts of the globe at different times, e.g., in 1700 B.C., prolonged drought contributed to the demise of Harappan civilization in northwest India. In 1200 B.C., under a similar climatic extremity, the Mycenaean civilization in present-day Greece (as well as the Mill Creek culture of the northwestern part of the present-day US state of Iowa) perished. Why did some societies under such climatic events perish while others survived? Lack of preparedness of one society and its failure to anticipate and adapt to the extreme climatic events might have attributed to their extinction. The authors will also analyze the extinction of one European Norse society in Greenland during the Little Ice Age (about 600 years ago), as compared to the still-surviving Inuit society in the northern segment of Greenland, which faced even harsher climatic conditions during the Little Ice Age than the extinct Norsemen. This is how the adaptability and “expectation of the worst” matter for the survival of a particular community against climatic “black swan” events (Taleb, 2007). Similar impacts in terms of sea-level rise expected by the year 2100 whereby major human populations of many parts of the world are expected to lose their environmental evolutionary “niche” will be discussed. Rising temperature will not only complicate human health issues, but also will it take its toll on the staple food producing agricultural belts in some latitudinal expanse. It will also worsen the living condition of the populace living in areas where climate is marginal.</p><p>Through the Socio-Economic Systems Model provided by Vadineanu (2001), the authors will next consider the effect of extant policy-making “prisms” responding to climate change (such as the “Club of Rome” versus the “Club for Growth” visions) as concerns the ongoing process of globalization and survival of the nation-state.</p></abstract>

It is vital for security experts to learn from the historical records of global climate change as to how the human society has been impacted by its consequences in the “new” Anthropocene Epoch. Some of these consequences of global climate change include the perishing of several human settlements in different parts of the globe at different times, e.g., in 1700 B.C., prolonged drought contributed to the demise of Harappan civilization in northwest India. In 1200 B.C., under a similar climatic extremity, the Mycenaean civilization in present-day Greece (as well as the Mill Creek culture of the northwestern part of the present-day US state of Iowa) perished. Why did some societies under such climatic events perish while others survived? Lack of preparedness of one society and its failure to anticipate and adapt to the extreme climatic events might have attributed to their extinction. The authors will also analyze the extinction of one European Norse society in Greenland during the Little Ice Age (about 600 years ago), as compared to the still-surviving Inuit society in the northern segment of Greenland, which faced even harsher climatic conditions during the Little Ice Age than the extinct Norsemen. This is how the adaptability and “expectation of the worst” matter for the survival of a particular community against climatic “black swan” events (Taleb, 2007). Similar impacts in terms of sea-level rise expected by the year 2100 whereby major human populations of many parts of the world are expected to lose their environmental evolutionary “niche” will be discussed. Rising temperature will not only complicate human health issues, but also will it take its toll on the staple food producing agricultural belts in some latitudinal expanse. It will also worsen the living condition of the populace living in areas where climate is marginal.Through the Socio-Economic Systems Model provided by Vadineanu (2001), the authors will next consider the effect of extant policy-making “prisms” responding to climate change (such as the “Club of Rome” versus the “Club for Growth” visions) as concerns the ongoing process of globalization and survival of the nation-state.

Climate Change – Probable Socio-Economic Systems (SES) Implications And Impacts In The Anthropocene Epoch

International conference KNOWLEDGE-BASED ORGANIZATION

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

It is vital for security experts to learn from the historical records of global climate change as to how the human society has been impacted by its...

Climate Change – Probable Socio-Economic Systems (SES) Implications And Impacts In The Anthropocene Epoch

Published Online: Nov 24, 2015

Page range: 308 - 317

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/kbo-2015-0052

Keywords
Climate Change, Anthropocene Era, “Black Swan” events, Human survival versus extinction (inputs/decisions/outcomes), Socio-Economic Systems Analysis (Vadineanu), Threat/Integry/Exchange Motivators (Boulding), varied scenarios/outcomes vis-à-vis globalization processes

© 2015 Eric Gilder et al., published by De Gruyter Open

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Climate Change – Probable Socio-Economic Systems (SES) Implications And Impacts In The Anthropocene Epoch

Published Online: Nov 24, 2015

Page range: 308 - 317

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/kbo-2015-0052

KeywordsClimate Change, Anthropocene Era, “Black Swan” events, Human survival versus extinction (inputs/decisions/outcomes), Socio-Economic Systems Analysis (Vadineanu), Threat/Integry/Exchange Motivators (Boulding), varied scenarios/outcomes vis-à-vis globalization processes

© 2015 Eric Gilder et al., published by De Gruyter Open

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Keywords
Climate Change, Anthropocene Era, “Black Swan” events, Human survival versus extinction (inputs/decisions/outcomes), Socio-Economic Systems Analysis (Vadineanu), Threat/Integry/Exchange Motivators (Boulding), varied scenarios/outcomes vis-à-vis globalization processes